Good afternoon, I am pleased to present the President’s recommended 2007 operating budget. CTA’s 2007 proposed operating budget maintains the current levels of service and fares. The budget is balanced and is in compliance with the funding Mark and recovery ratio set by RTA. No capital funding for operations is assumed in the 2007 budget and two year financial plan. The budget assumes stable economic and employment growth. Inflation measured based on the CPI is estimated at 2.5%. Slide 1 The greatest risk to the 2007 budget is the level of public funding. The funding mark includes a new regional transit funding source for $110.0 million. If this new funding source is not identified in the spring of 2007, CTA will have to fund other ways to budget for operating expenses is balance the budget including fare and service changes. Balancing the budget through service reductions could require reductions of up to 30% of the current service in 2007. Slide 2 The proposed Operating Expenses for 2007 is projected at $1.133 million. This is $96.5 million more than the 2006 budget primarily due to higher labor, commodity and energy prices. Labor expenses are $101.4 higher than the 2006 budget due to: * The labor arbitration award * Service changes implemented mid year 2006 for the west side corridor * Higher health care * Retiree healthcare * Pension funding. Slide 3 As you know on May 4, 2006 the Illinois General Assembly approved a bill requiring cta beginning in 2009 to fund its pension plan at a level percentage of payroll to achieve a 90% funding ratio in 50 years. This budget assumes higher contributions by employees and CTA to the pension plan in 2007. The budget assumes an increase in positions of 34 due to: * West Side service changes * Security and safety Slide 4 and 5 Energy and commodity price inflation are key assumptions in this budget and could impose additional risk to the projections. Material expense is up $10.8 million or 16.1% over the 2006 budget primarily due to commodity price increases realized in 2006. Fuel expense is up $13.2 million as the price per gallon is estimated at $2.50 per gallon—25% higher than 2006. Consumption is up 2.1% due to the higher service levels. Likewise, the budget for electric power is up 30% due to the end of the decade long rate freeze. Slide 6 System generated revenues are estimated at $552.7 million, $40.0 million or 7.8% more than the 2006 budget. Fares and Pass revenues are up $41.8 million due to higher ridership growth and the significant impact of the 2006 fare change that included a $0.25 increase in cash and rail transit card fares and the elimination of the paper transfers. Slide 7 Ridership is estimated at 505.9 million, 16.3 million or 3.3% more than the 2006 budget. Slide 8 Rail ridership is projected to increase 10.8% while bus ridership is estimated 0.8% less than the 2006 budget. Again this reflects the trend experienced in 2006. Investment Income is also estimated at $12.1 million --$7.2 million or 145% more due to higher investment rates Slide 9 Turning now to CTA’s capital program, this slide illustrates the carious funding sources projected to be available for the 2007-2011 Capital Improvement Program. The 2007-2011 program totals nearly $2.7 billion with the majority of funding coming from various federal sources. The other major funding source is CTA bonding at $425 million over the 5- year period. There are almost no non-federal funds (state or RTA) other than CTA bonds. Slide 10 This slide illustrates the history of the Capital Program since 1998 and projects forward through 2011. With the passage of Illinois FIRST, CTA capital program grew significantly from 2000 through 2004 reaching a peak of $786 million in 2004. When Illinois FIRST expired at the end of 2004, CTA’s capital program began to shrink. Illinois FIRST provided approximately $176 million in capital funds each year. The program dropped to a low of $417 million in 2006 and is projected to be only $434 million in 2007. The 2007-2011 program would be even smaller were it not for CTA bonds. Slide 11 This slide compares funding for rail projects, bus projects and systemwide projects. The large majority of funds are used for rail system projects with smaller proportions for bus and systemwide projects. This imbalance is due to the fact the rail projects are inherently more expensive than other types of projects and does not indicate that preference is being given to rail over bus projects. Slide 12 Earlier this year, CTA undertook a complete assessment of its total capital need including the state of capital infrastructure as well as the cost to bring the entire system to a state of good repair. At that time, CTA identified a total capital need of approximately $8 billion. Of this amount, funding was identified for only $2.2 billion in projects leaving an unfunded need of $5.8 billion. This is a snapshot of the status as of summer 2006 and will change over time as funding becomes available and the infrastructure continues to age. Slide 13 and Slide 14 The final two slides illustrate some of the major projects in the 2007-2011 Capital Improvement Program. Those projects include the following: Bus Purchases: $29.9 million in 2007, five year total of $141 million Rail Car Purchases: $57.5 million in 2007, five year total of $319 million Brown Line: $63 million in 2007, five year total of $217.8 million Rail Signal System (Blue Line & Loop): $37.6 million in 2007, five year total of $106.2 million Howard Station: $9 million in 2007, five year total of $36.7 million Wilson Station: $5.4 million in 2007, five year total of $61.2 million Bus Mid-life Overhaul: $16.7 million in 2007, five year total of $101.2 million Rail Car Mid-life and Quarter-life Overhaul: $37.8 million in 2007, five year total of $237.7 million Debt Service Payments: $30.3 million in 2007, five year total of $385.1 million